WHAT REALLY
HAPPENED TO THE DOLLAR
Those hoarding Dollars
to sell at higher prices, the time to sell it is now.
The main reason why the value of Dollar skyrocketed against
the Naira of recent is not far from some of the policy the government of the
day made to force down it price. Unfortunately, that reverse happened. Before we go into the magic of the V.P that
forced down the value of the dollar, let first discuss
the wrong things kept that kept reducing the value of the Naira. They include but not limited to the following:
the wrong things kept that kept reducing the value of the Naira. They include but not limited to the following:
SELLING OF DOLLAR TO THOSE THE GOVERNMENT DEEMED FIT
The sale of the Dollar to those the government deemed fit,
such as those going for pilgrimage, manufacturers, traditional rulers etc. and
stopping the sell to student, those going for medical trip abroad, and shopping
compounded the matter the problem of the Naira. This will make those in need of
Dollar have nowhere to turn but the black market and the pressure on the black
market will increase the price.
FORCING BLACK MARKETERS TO SALE AT GOVERNMENT APPROVED PRICES
This temporarily reduced the price and the after effect is
what we see today. Many of the marketers left their shops calling the interested
buyers to meet them in other locations to make transaction. Customers that couldn’t
locate those involved in such sales had to buy from anybody that had it. Thus the
price was determined by how desperate the buyers where. This distorted the
market to an unimaginable extent.
CORRUPT POLITICIANS AND CIVIL SERVANTS
Many corrupt politicians and civil servants that stole large
amount of money during their time of active service, especially naira, saw the
need to withdraw them from the banks after Buhari won the election out of fear.
This was compounded by the introduction of the BVN. The best way to save the
money they stole was in Dollars. This is because the Dollar will occupy less
space compared to the naira. Hundred Dollars (1 piece) is equal to forty-six
thousand Naira (46 pieces). So a politician that stole so much in Naira will
withdraw them from the banks and buy Dollars from the black market for storing
in their houses. This trend alone is what was suffocating the Naira.
CORRUPT BANK OFFICIAL
It will surprise you to hear that just as fuel stations prefer
the sales of fuel to black marketers so also the banks prefer the sales of Dollars
to black marketers. The reason is simple; the black marketers are ready to buy
higher than the official rate but the banks customers may not. That was why the
CBN at a point asked the banks to start submitting the reports of their forex
because they had lots of sharp practices that mouth can’t tell.
Secondly you will be surprised to hear banks helps
politicians in money laundering and it is done in foreign currencies. So the
foreign currencies that are supposed to be sold to the ordering person on the
streets and let say… black marketers are sold to the politicians who give the
bankers handsome cuts. The ordinary man has nowhere to turn but the black
market and the black market may not have enough to grapple with demands which will
increase the pressure and price and price of the Dollar.
MOST NIGERIANS PREFER FOREIGN GOODS
Most Nigerians don’t want to be seen as locals because they
consumed local goods and others don’t trust the Nigerian brand. These range
from the common man on the street through celebrities to those in power. They prefer
to shop abroad, holiday abroad and go for medical vacation abroad. Don’t ask me
what the president went to London to do? The value of the Dollar will continue
to increase because of this.
HOARDING THE DOLLAR
Just the way we hoard beans, rice, yam and palm oil for
upwards of six months before selling, people prefers to hoard the Dollar. This is because you may not need to keep them
for six months before you sell them to make good profit. Secondly, they don’t occupy
much space as compared to the other commodities or goods that are hoarded. Good
business don’t you think? To make the matter worse many of the
individuals involved prefers to buy than sell, so they mop any available Dollars
in the market. They are even willing to buy at higher prices, in as much as the
price will catch-up and overtake the price they bought. That is why the government keep struggling every
day to meet up with the demands. But I have a disappointing news for them. Continue
reading.
What was the magic of
the V.P that changed everything?
No magic but the following:
ORDERING BANKS TO SELL TO PEOPLE WITH ESSENTIAL NEED.
The VP ordered banks to start selling the Dollar to student and
others that needs it for essential things abroad which was contrary to the
military attempt aimed at forcing the market to comply with his stipulated price.
Although this will put a lot of pressure on the government to supply the
quantity needed by the banks. May be the recovered loots sorted that out, I wouldn’t
know. But with banks complying to sell at the government approved prices,
visits to the black market will reduce, so also will the pressure of demands
(nobody will want to buy higher in the black market when banks sell lower). This
will bring the price of Dollar down. This reason resulted to the next
PANIC SALES
The first reason resulted to people selling the Dollar they
hoarded in panic and they are even willing to sell at lower prices so they won’t
lose their customers to the bankers. Everybody wants to sell thus increasing the
supply, and the demands reducing which will also force down the price the more.
Majority of us must have figured out the above arguments but
what you may not know is the next reason.
THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT WANT THE VALUE OF THE DOLLAR DOWN.
America government sees Russia as rivals but not as they see
the Chinese. China is not only a threat to America in population, but also in
economy and technology. Our main stay is the economy. The cheap labour that
resulted in the cheap prices of goods from China is a major thing of concern to
the American government. That was why Trump the American warned of the
overvalue of the Dollar which subsequently forced down it value.
This is to tell you that the VP is trying but the above news contributed
greatly to what we see today.
Although it is possible that his God favors him because he is a pastor
which resulted to the above. If he fails despite he claims he is a servant of God,
then we are in for trouble.
CONCLUSION
If the American government are interested in seen the value
of their currency fall so that their industries can compete with the Chinese industries,
then the Naira sure has better days ahead. If the panic sales also continue as expected,
then the best time to sale the Dollar you hoarded so far is now.
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